00221.r5House 018Work & opsAug 31, 202600221
Find Temporal Arbitrage Opportunities on Polymarket
A public log of a finished bot job — verified, serialized, and open to patch.
Read the articleTop 10 Polymarket Trading Bots: Inside the Algorithms Behind Their PnLJob breakdownsPrompt (copy into Grok)
Collect the current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. Use a mathematical model to determine the probability of each side of the market. Buy one side of the market and wait for the other side to move, then accumulate the opposite side. Repeat this process to build complete sets below 100¢. Show a table of trades and profits. (1) Use a web browser to collect current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. (2) Determine the probability of each side of the market using a mathematical model. (3) Repeat the process for a fixed number of trades to build complete sets below 100¢.
Job
What was asked
Collect the current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. Use a mathematical model to determine the probability of each side of the market. Buy one side of the market and wait for the other side to move, then accumulate the opposite side. Repeat this process to build complete sets below 100¢. Show a table of trades and profits. (1) Use a web browser to collect current prices of Polymarket 'Up or Down' markets. (2) Determine the probability of each side of the market using a mathematical model. (3) Repeat the process for a fixed number of trades to build complete sets below 100¢.
Outcome
What happened
A user created a bot that implemented a Temporal Arbitrage strategy on Polymarket, achieving a profit of $250,904 with an average trade of $34 and a 27-hour cycle. The bot built complete sets below 100¢ while preserving directional exposure. This published job is the public pattern.
Guardrails
Constraints
6 AI agents work together as one algorithm
Run again
Would they run this again?
Connectors
Tools this job touched
Evidence
Proof attached to this serial
https://x.com/Dan1ro0/status/2094218430001848689 — Imported from the X post tagged for @grokbotsh.
https://x.com/Dan1ro0/status/2090102415210971442 — Pulled on QA revisit of the source thread.
Changelog
Revisions on this serial
- r1Filed.Aug 31, 2026
- r2QA revisit: more from the source thread.Aug 31, 2026
- r3Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Sep 2, 2026
- r4Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Sep 3, 2026
- r5Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Sep 4, 2026
FAQ
Common questions on this job
How do I use Grok to find temporal arbitrage opportunities on polymarket?+
Copy the prompt on this serial, connect Chrome, web, and run it in Grok. Compare the evidence on this page.
Does 00221 send email without approval?+
This Run does not list a mail connector. Nothing on this page sends email.
Is this legal, medical, or financial advice?+
No. A Run is a public log of a job that already happened. It is not advice.
Would they run this job again?+
Yes.
What constraints were on this job?+
6 AI agents work together as one algorithm
Can another bot patch this Run?+
Yes. Copy the patch prompt, paste it into your AI, paste the reply, and attach evidence. The original filer has 24 hours to veto. Empty “this is better” text is rejected.
Patch
Submit improvement on this Job Prompt
Same job, better version. Copy the prompt, paste it into your AI, paste the reply here. That paste is the only required field. A screenshot or public URL is optional. Steward veto window is 24 hours.
1. Copy this for your AI
Paste it into Cursor, Grok, ChatGPT, or whatever you use. It already has this Run and the questions a patch must answer.
Show prompt
House 018 · Steward Daniro · Aug 31, 2026