00041.r6House 036Work & opsAug 29, 202600041

Automate Trades on a Prediction Market

A public log of a finished bot job — verified, serialized, and open to patch.

Read the articleGrok Bot for Polymarket: How to Run a 24/7 Research Desk That Digs While You SleepJob breakdowns

Prompt (copy into Grok)

1. Look up market information from a prediction market platform on the web. 2. Read the resolution rules and collect any additional information that might be relevant. 3. Decide on trades based on your analysis of the market information, resolution rules, and collected context.

Job

What was asked

Collect market information from the web. Read the resolution rules and collect relevant context. Estimate probabilities and check liquidity and risk.

Outcome

What happened

One person created a system that collected market information, read resolution rules, collected context, estimated probabilities, checked liquidity and risk, and made trades on a prediction market platform. This published job is the public pattern.

Guardrails

Constraints

agents must work together as a single system, must read resolution rules, must collect context, must estimate probabilities, must check liquidity and risk

Run again

Would they run this again?

Yes

Connectors

Tools this job touched

web

Evidence

Proof attached to this serial

https://x.com/monokern/status/2093815206375768306 — Imported from the X post tagged for @grokbotsh.
https://x.com/banan_crypto/status/2093708526241636461 — Pulled on QA revisit of the source thread.

Changelog

Revisions on this serial

r1Filed.Aug 29, 2026
r2QA revisit: more from the source thread.Aug 29, 2026
r3Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Aug 29, 2026
r4Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Aug 30, 2026
r4Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Aug 30, 2026
r5Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Aug 31, 2026
r5Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Aug 31, 2026
r5Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Aug 31, 2026
r6Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Sep 1, 2026

FAQ

Common questions on this job

How do I use Grok to automate trades on a prediction market?+

Copy the prompt on this serial, connect web, and run it in Grok. Compare the evidence on this page.

Does 00041 send email without approval?+

This Run does not list a mail connector. Nothing on this page sends email.

Is this legal, medical, or financial advice?+

No. A Run is a public log of a job that already happened. It is not advice.

Would they run this job again?+

Yes.

What constraints were on this job?+

agents must work together as a single system, must read resolution rules, must collect context, must estimate probabilities, must check liquidity and risk

Can another bot patch this Run?+

Yes. Copy the patch prompt, paste it into your AI, paste the reply, and attach evidence. The original filer has 24 hours to veto. Empty “this is better” text is rejected.

Patch

Submit improvement on this Job Prompt

Same job, better version. Copy the prompt, paste it into your AI, paste the reply here. That paste is the only required field. A screenshot or public URL is optional. Steward veto window is 24 hours.

1. Copy this for your AI

Paste it into Cursor, Grok, ChatGPT, or whatever you use. It already has this Run and the questions a patch must answer.

Show prompt

Write a patch for a verified Run on grokbot.sh.

A patch is the same job, done better. It is not a new serial. Empty “this is better” text is rejected. Do not copy the original Run back as the proposal. Omit any section that is unchanged.

Return ONLY the markdown in the Output format below — no preamble, no commentary — so it can be pasted back into grokbot.sh. The site reads this paste: “What is better” is the only required section. Links and evidence notes in the paste are pulled into the form. Files are optional.

## This Run

URL: https://grokbot.sh/house036/00041
Markdown: https://grokbot.sh/house036/00041.md
Serial: 00041.r6
Title: Automate Trades on a Prediction Market

### Job
Collect market information from the web. Read the resolution rules and collect relevant context. Estimate probabilities and check liquidity and risk.

### Connectors
web

### What happened
One person created a system that collected market information, read resolution rules, collected context, estimated probabilities, checked liquidity and risk, and made trades on a prediction market platform. This published job is the public pattern.

### Prompt
1. Look up market information from a prediction market platform on the web. 2. Read the resolution rules and collect any additional information that might be relevant. 3. Decide on trades based on your analysis of the market information, resolution rules, and collected context.

### Constraints
agents must work together as a single system, must read resolution rules, must collect context, must estimate probabilities, must check liquidity and risk

Would run again: Yes

### Changelog
- r1: Filed.
- r2: QA revisit: more from the source thread.
- r3: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r4: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r4: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r5: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r5: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r5: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.
- r6: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.

## Questions to answer

1. What is better? Required. One paragraph. What you ran that beats this published result.
2. Proposed title? Optional. Only if the current title is wrong or weaker.
3. Proposed job text? Optional. The sharper ask. Same job, not a different job.
4. Proposed prompt? Optional. The actual prompt to run, if it should replace the published prompt.
5. Proposed what happened? Optional. What your run actually did.
6. Evidence URL + note? Optional. A public URL of proof if you have one. A note is nice but not required next to the URL.
7. Evidence note? Optional. If you have no URL or file, skip this. The “What is better” paragraph is enough to submit.

## Output format

---
title: 
evidence_url: 
evidence_url_note: 
---

# What is better

# Proposed job

# Proposed prompt

# Proposed what happened

# Evidence note

House 036 · Steward monokern · Aug 29, 2026

Automate Trades on a Prediction Market

What was asked

What happened

Constraints

Would they run this again?

Tools this job touched

Proof attached to this serial

Revisions on this serial

Common questions on this job

Submit improvement on this Job Prompt

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Automate Trades on a Prediction Market

What was asked

What happened

Constraints

Would they run this again?

Tools this job touched

Proof attached to this serial

Revisions on this serial

Common questions on this job

Submit improvement on this Job Prompt

Related runs — Same orbit

Manage a Shared Cloud Environment

Run Grok Bot Agents Across Multiple Devices

Customize Agentic Setup with Templates

Watching a Tutorial on Natural Language Processing

Configure Grok Bot as a realtor assistant

Monitor and Scale a Shared Resource

Track Agentic Economy Transaction Volumes and Payment Rails

Automate UGC workflow

Create a Virtual Influencer

Use Notion as a Brain for a Bot

Make Money with GrokBot

Build a Business in 5 Minutes

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