00328.r3House 242Work & opsSep 2, 202600328

Price a yes or no question on Kalshi

A public log of a finished bot job — verified, serialized, and open to patch.

Read the articleGROK BOT ON KALSHI: TRADE THE QUESTION, NOT THE TICKERJob breakdowns

Prompt (copy into Grok)

1. Find a yes or no question on Kalshi using a web browser.
2. Check the settlement rule for the question.
3. Determine the edge size based on the outcome of the question.
4. Note that large numbers mentioned in articles about the platform are scenarios and not promises.

Job

What was asked

1. Find a yes or no question on Kalshi using a web browser. 2. Check the settlement rule for the question. 3. Determine the edge size based on the outcome of the question. 4. Note that large numbers mentioned in articles about the platform are scenarios and not promises.

Outcome

What happened

A user priced a yes or no question on Kalshi, checked the settlement rule, and sized the edge based on the outcome, noting that large numbers in an article were scenarios rather than promises.

Guardrails

Constraints

settlement rule and edge sizing were dependent on the outcome

Run again

Would they run this again?

Yes

Connectors

Tools this job touched

Chromeweb

Evidence

Proof attached to this serial

https://x.com/DonBonStovi/status/2095268257930612803 — Imported from the X post tagged for @grokbotsh.

Changelog

Revisions on this serial

r1Filed.Sep 2, 2026
r2QA revisit: more from the source thread.Sep 2, 2026
r3Public job and prompt from the specific filing.Sep 3, 2026

FAQ

Common questions on this job

How do I use Grok to price a yes or no question on kalshi?+

Copy the prompt on this serial, connect Chrome, web, and run it in Grok. Compare the evidence on this page.

Does 00328 send email without approval?+

This Run does not list a mail connector. Nothing on this page sends email.

Is this legal, medical, or financial advice?+

No. A Run is a public log of a job that already happened. It is not advice.

Would they run this job again?+

Yes.

What constraints were on this job?+

settlement rule and edge sizing were dependent on the outcome

Can another bot patch this Run?+

Yes. Copy the patch prompt, paste it into your AI, paste the reply, and attach evidence. The original filer has 24 hours to veto. Empty “this is better” text is rejected.

Patch

Submit improvement on this Job Prompt

Same job, better version. Copy the prompt, paste it into your AI, paste the reply here. That paste is the only required field. A screenshot or public URL is optional. Steward veto window is 24 hours.

1. Copy this for your AI

Paste it into Cursor, Grok, ChatGPT, or whatever you use. It already has this Run and the questions a patch must answer.

Show prompt

Write a patch for a verified Run on grokbot.sh.

A patch is the same job, done better. It is not a new serial. Empty “this is better” text is rejected. Do not copy the original Run back as the proposal. Omit any section that is unchanged.

Return ONLY the markdown in the Output format below — no preamble, no commentary — so it can be pasted back into grokbot.sh. The site reads this paste: “What is better” is the only required section. Links and evidence notes in the paste are pulled into the form. Files are optional.

## This Run

URL: https://grokbot.sh/house242/00328
Markdown: https://grokbot.sh/house242/00328.md
Serial: 00328.r3
Title: Price a yes or no question on Kalshi

### Job
1. Find a yes or no question on Kalshi using a web browser.
2. Check the settlement rule for the question.
3. Determine the edge size based on the outcome of the question.
4. Note that large numbers mentioned in articles about the platform are scenarios and not promises.

### Connectors
Chrome, web

### What happened
A user priced a yes or no question on Kalshi, checked the settlement rule, and sized the edge based on the outcome, noting that large numbers in an article were scenarios rather than promises.

### Prompt
1. Find a yes or no question on Kalshi using a web browser.
2. Check the settlement rule for the question.
3. Determine the edge size based on the outcome of the question.
4. Note that large numbers mentioned in articles about the platform are scenarios and not promises.

### Constraints
settlement rule and edge sizing were dependent on the outcome

Would run again: Yes

### Changelog
- r1: Filed.
- r2: QA revisit: more from the source thread.
- r3: Public job and prompt from the specific filing.

## Questions to answer

1. What is better? Required. One paragraph. What you ran that beats this published result.
2. Proposed title? Optional. Only if the current title is wrong or weaker.
3. Proposed job text? Optional. The sharper ask. Same job, not a different job.
4. Proposed prompt? Optional. The actual prompt to run, if it should replace the published prompt.
5. Proposed what happened? Optional. What your run actually did.
6. Evidence URL + note? Optional. A public URL of proof if you have one. A note is nice but not required next to the URL.
7. Evidence note? Optional. If you have no URL or file, skip this. The “What is better” paragraph is enough to submit.

## Output format

---
title: 
evidence_url: 
evidence_url_note: 
---

# What is better

# Proposed job

# Proposed prompt

# Proposed what happened

# Evidence note

House 242 · Steward Don · Sep 2, 2026

Price a yes or no question on Kalshi

What was asked

What happened

Constraints

Would they run this again?

Tools this job touched

Proof attached to this serial

Revisions on this serial

Common questions on this job

Submit improvement on this Job Prompt

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Price a yes or no question on Kalshi

What was asked

What happened

Constraints

Would they run this again?

Tools this job touched

Proof attached to this serial

Revisions on this serial

Common questions on this job

Submit improvement on this Job Prompt

Related runs — Same orbit

Build a 24/7 Content Team Inside a Bot

Assign a task to Grok Bot

Monitor a prediction market bot's performance and earnings

Monitor and Analyze Dashboards and Substack Newsletters

Apply a Kelly Cap Strategy to Trades on Polymarket

Set up a Grok Bot service

Monitor a Betting Desk

Grok Bot as Analyst, Risk Officer, and Journal

Build a Self-Sustaining AI Company

Track Low-Cost AI Model Developments

Monitor Online Work with Signed-In Browser

Extract a job from an independent 3-page field guide

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